June 29th 2016 was the day the world stood still, well at least Montreal did. If you walk the streets of Canada’s old capital today, you wouldn’t meet a lot of people who would say the Subban for Weber trade was advantageous for the Habs. As a Canadiens fan I would like to say lets all calm down and see where it brings us in the future.
While we wait for P.K. to bring Lord Stanley’s cup to the Montreal Children’s Hospital, let’ s look back at the first season of the trade and see how the two players did.
By taking a quick look at basic stats, we can see that it’s pretty close. Subban played 66 games, netted 10 goals, had 30 assists, for a total of 40 points and a differential of -8. While Weber played 78 games, netted 17 goals, had 25 assists, for a total of 42 points and a differential of +20. Basically P.K. scored more points for the games he played and Shea beat him in +/-.
Basic stats are alright, but if we want to get a better picture, we will have to look at the advanced stats. Let’s look at different types of advanced stats, decide who was better in each and hopefully determine who won the first season of the trade.
The advanced stats in this article cover all game situations. Meaning 5v5, 4v4, 3v3, power plays and penalty kills combined. (The stats were available through the wonderful website http://www.corsica.hockey)
Goals per 60 (G60 = (G/TOI*60))
A pretty simple stat, goals per 60, is the amount of goals recorded for every 60 minutes the player played. Weber managed to record a .53 G60 while P.K. recorded a .41, meaning Weber was the better scorer this season.
Assists per 60 (A60 = (A/TOI*60))
Like the former stat, but this time dealing with assists per 60 minutes. P.K. was the better passer this year recording a 1.09 while Weber came in at 0.77.
Point per 60 (P60 = (P/TOI*60))
Alright I think you get it. P.K. recorded 1.5 P60 while Weber got a 1.3. That’s an other point for P.K.
Corsi Shooting Percentage (CSh% = (GF/CF))
The Corsi shooting percentage indicates how many goals a player scored as a percentage of all the shots he took. Regardless of if they hit the net, missed or were blocked. Weber won this category with 4% of all his shots finding the back of the net, while Subban recorded a 3.73%.
Fenwick Shooting Percentage (FSh% = (GF/FF))
Similar to the last stat, the Fenwick shooting percentage is the percentile of goals scored from all unblocked shots. Again, Weber won scoring on 5.99% of his unblocked shots while P.K. scored on 5.58%.
Shooting Percentage (S% = (GF/SF))
A more traditional stat, the shooting percentage measures the percentile of goals from shots on net. Not surprisingly, Weber took this one as well with a 9.29% compared to Subban’s 7.69%. These three stats indicate that Weber was more accurate when shooting this season.
Scoring Chances For per 60 (SCF60 = (SCF/TOI*60))
As it’s name indicates, this stat records how many scoring chances a player creates for every 60 minutes he plays. Subban was the one who fared better generating 0.34 chances per 60 minutes compared to Weber’s 0.09. Meaning Subban was better at generating scoring chances.
Hits For (HF)
Okay, yes this one is basic but still important. Obviously, Shea being the more physical player won with 140 hits compared to P.K’s 78.
Wow, this one surprised me. Having watched P.K. for several years I was sure he would have more giveaways. In fact Weber had more with 80 while P.K. only coughed up the puck 58 times.
Measuring how many times a player stripped the puck away from an other. P.K. was the one who managed to steal more pucks with 30, compared to Shea’s 11.
Measures the number of shots a player blocked. Shea 157, P.K. 104. So ya, Weber wins that one.
Penalty Differential (PENDIFF = (PEND – PENT))
Calculated by subtracting penalties taken from penalties drawn, it measures the penalty impact of a player. Subban was the one who had a better impact on his team with a PENDIFF of -3 compared to Weber’s -12.
Corsi Save Percentage (CSv% = (1 – GA/CA))
The Corsi save percentage measures the percentile of all shots saved from all shots taken while the player was on the ice. Weber recorded a 96.55% beating P.K’s 94.40%.
Fenwick Save Percentage (FSv% = (1-GA/FA))
The Fenwick save percentage measures the percentile of unblocked shots which were saved while the player was on the ice. Again, Weber beat Subban 95.08% to 92.73%.
Save Percentage (Sv% = (1 – GF/SF))
Like the two previous, the save percentage measures the amount of shots on net which were saved while the player was on the ice. Webber beat Subban 93.32% to 89.64%. These three stats seem to indicate that more pucks were saved while Weber was on the ice, implying he had a greater defensive presence. Now these stats rely heavily on who the goalie was, but I am pretty satisfied in thinking it’s close with Pekka and Carey in nets.
Alright I feel like that’s enough stats for today. If you haven’t been keeping track, take a look at the scoreboard to the right.
So what did we learn? That both of these players are incredible.
Shea Weber seems to have a greater defensive presence. Less goals were scored while he was on the ice as his CSv%, CFv% and Sv% were higher. He also scored more goals and manged to be more accurate on the shots he took according to his CSh%, FSh% and S%. Weber was also more physical with 140 hits and managed to block more shots then his counterpart.
Pernell-Karl Subban was better at generating offence according to his SCF60. This lead him to accumulate more assists as well as points per 60 minutes played. He also was more disciplined and had a knack for protecting and gaining the puck.
In conclusion, I believe both players are great and can offer some great hockey for their respective clubs. Weber is more defensively minded while he can still contribute to the offense, and Subban has a flair for creating offensive chances while still being defensively responsible. Montreal is built around a great goaltender in Carey Price and adding a defensive juggernaut like Weber increases there chance of winning. Nashville is a great defensive team with the likes of Josi, Ellis and Ekholm on their blue line. Adding an offensive minded defender like Subban can also only help them. Time will be the factor that determines if Montreal or Nashville won the trade.